Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.038136 0.041482 0.044850 0.048489 0.052304 0.056178 0.060404
2025-11-02 0.031310 0.036126 0.041143 0.046734 0.052768 0.059061 0.066098
2025-11-09 0.026882 0.032742 0.039033 0.046234 0.054197 0.062681 0.072357
2025-11-16 0.023495 0.030107 0.037408 0.045967 0.055631 0.066115 0.078264
2025-11-23 0.021722 0.029075 0.037387 0.047324 0.058732 0.071284 0.086008
2025-11-30 0.020094 0.028034 0.037210 0.048377 0.061389 0.075883 0.093067
2025-12-07 0.018495 0.026876 0.036772 0.049017 0.063485 0.079782 0.099288
2025-12-14 0.016832 0.025500 0.035958 0.049115 0.064866 0.082801 0.104457
2025-12-21 0.015893 0.024951 0.036079 0.050272 0.067448 0.087171 0.111157
2025-12-28 0.014158 0.023249 0.034674 0.049488 0.067649 0.088714 0.114543
2026-01-04 0.013050 0.022293 0.034138 0.049714 0.069014 0.091586 0.119448
2026-01-11 0.012240 0.021680 0.033993 0.050386 0.070889 0.095040 0.125022
2026-01-18 0.011434 0.021044 0.033811 0.051025 0.072761 0.098546 0.130738
2026-01-25 0.009813 0.019134 0.031859 0.049335 0.071699 0.098497 0.132218
2026-02-01 0.008784 0.018010 0.030900 0.048875 0.072131 0.100222 0.135792
2026-02-08 0.007920 0.017064 0.030134 0.048625 0.072795 0.102207 0.139664
2026-02-15 0.007654 0.017032 0.030630 0.050042 0.075577 0.106792 0.146684
2026-02-22 0.007312 0.016849 0.030894 0.051138 0.077943 0.110866 0.153095
2026-03-01 0.006869 0.016469 0.030852 0.051803 0.079745 0.114240 0.158657
2026-03-08 0.006304 0.015839 0.030416 0.051905 0.080799 0.116674 0.163068
2026-03-15 0.006071 0.015761 0.030780 0.053102 0.083281 0.120893 0.169673
2026-03-22 0.005348 0.014760 0.029723 0.052292 0.083101 0.121758 0.172143
2026-03-29 0.004934 0.014279 0.029427 0.052526 0.084285 0.124328 0.176713